Form Analysis by Rob Auber
Race 1:
OVERVIEW: MONTANA CHEVELLE (8) finished off strongly to win last start and just needs to find an opening to be doing the same again here. Hard to hold out. PIESRIDINGSHOTGUN (5) gave a great sight last start and was just run down. Looks well placed and is a major chance. FRANKYTHEFRENCHMAN (13) racing in very good form having won three from his past four starts. Challenging draw but will be running on strongly. COURAGES LAW (9) gets a nice trailing draw and finished off well late last start. A winner of only one race from 34 stars but has claims here. ALFIE ALWAYS (7) NIGHT SKY (11) OFF YOUR FACESKI (3) SUZYS DREAM (2) and MACHO MAORI (4) all have ability and are amongst the place and first four chances.
EARLY SPEED: 3,4,5
SELECTIONS: MONTANA CHEVELLE (8) PIESRIDINGSHOTGUN (5) FRANKYTHEFRENCHMAN (13) COURAGES LAW (9)
RATINGS: 8/ 5/ 13/ 9/ 7/ 11/ 10/ 3/ 2/ 4
SUGGESTED BET: MONTANA CHEVELLE (8) to Win.
Race 2:
OVERVIEW: RUFF NUT (8) capable 3yo with good ability but faces an awkward draw. If the breaks come his way, he’s a major chance. SOHO THE READ DEAL (10) does have his share of ability and looks well placed in this race. Expect a big showing despite the challenging second row draw. PICK UP ELVIS (7) tough pacer that is racing very well but faces a wide draw. Can measure up here and make his presence felt. TO THE NINES (9) gets a nice trialling draw and will be running on late. NUGGET ROGERS (1) MIKI SING (5) OLLIES THE BOSS (3) and MAJOR CRUNCH (4) all have ability and have the favourable draws to be very prominent to figure in the finish and must be respected.
EARLY SPEED: 1,2,3,4,5
SELECTIONS: RUFF NUT (8) SOHO THE READ DEAL (10) PICK UP ELVIS (7) TO THE NINES (9)
RATINGS: 8/ 10/ 7/ 9/ 5/ 1/ 3/ 4
SUGGESTED BET: RUFF NUT (8) to Win.
Race 3:
OVERVIEW: CARRAMAR TITMUS (3) has run some very good races through the Vicbred series and will appreciate the front-line draw. Expect a big showing from this favourable draw. IDEAL MOTH (4) is a talented filly from the in-form Damian Wilson stable and will find this more to her liking. A major chance. FLOJOS BEST (5) excellent run two starts ago and is working up to a win. Can make her presence felt here. ALWAYS A SHOWGIRL (9) gets a nice trailing draw and should settle handy to be running on late and must be respected along with SEA SALT (7) that is lightly raced but shows ability however needs to overcome a wide draw. WICKED MITZI (1) MYRTLE MAY (8) BRINGUSJOY (13) are amongst the place and first four chances.
EARLY SPEED: 1,3,4,5
SELECTIONS: CARRAMAR TITMUS (3) IDEAL MOTH (4) FLOJOS BEST (5) ALWAYS A SHOWGIRL (9)
RATINGS: 3/ 4/ 5/ 9/ 7/ 1/ 8/ 13
SUGGESTED BET: CARRAMAR TITMUS (3) to Win.
Race 4:
OVERVIEW: CARDIGAN DAN (1) should be at peak fitness after two runs back from a spell and gets an ideal draw. Looks well placed to be fighting out the finish. MOST EXCITING (8) lightly raced with good ability and drawn to get an ideal trip and looks a threat in this. USYK (2) does have his share of ability and can race handy along with MAJOR BLITZ (4) and both runners must be respected. SHORELINE DREAM (10) is a talented youngster that has his share of raw talent with more scope for improvement and is amongst the chances along with SOHO MAJESTIC (13) that faces a tough draw. DEMBE (9) RUGGARDS GEE TEE (5) and SCOOTER LOU (12) are place and first four hopes.
EARLY SPEED: 1,2,4
SELECTIONS: CARDIGAN DAN (1) MOST EXCITING (8) USYK (2) MAJOR BLITZ (4)
RATINGS: 1/ 8/ 2/ 4/ 10/ 13/ 9/ 5/ 12
SUGGESTED BET: Quinella 1 & 8
Race 5:
OVERVIEW: GINGER ELLA (10) is a talented but quirky filly that was excellent when runner up two starts ago. Worked too hard last start and can bounce back here. The Emma Stewart trained runners BELIEVEITOR NOT (2) does have gate speed and ran very well at her race debut, POPPY LANE (13) did things last start and is an improving type whilst HILLTOP STAR (11) was a last start winner and must be respected, all have ability and strike a suitable race to be amongst the chances. EYESALITTLE (9) won at her race debut run at Mildura back in October for in-form and astute trainer Aaron Duunn and from the nice trailing draw must be respected. BAY LA VILLE (6) is a little pocket dynamo that finished off powerfully to win at her first race start and showed plenty of speed. Must be respected again. RACHELS LEGACY (3) was a winner at her first two starts and then unplaced at her next two runs. Can’t be dismissed. KAIKO JETT (12) shows ability and was very good winning two starts ago at her first race start and is not out of this. BRIDWOOD MAISEY (4) comes across from Tasmania with good form and might measure up against these.
EARLY SPEED: 2,3,4
SELECTIONS: GINGER ELLA (10) BELIEVEITOR NOT (2) POPPY LANE (13) HILLTOP STAR (11)
RATINGS: 10/ 2/ 13/ 11/ 9/ 6/ 12/ 4
SUGGESTED BET: GINGER ELLA (10) to Win.
Race 6:
OVERVIEW: ABBIE (1) is a talented mare that was close when runner up last start. Drawn well again and expect a strong showing. KYVALLEY JETSTREAM (11) good effort to win last start after finding trouble and is a major threat. THIRD EYE (6) is racing well and was an excellent effort to win last start and can figure in the finish. TE AMO (10) is a talented trotter that has plenty of ability and just needs to produce his best to be fighting out the finish. THE CLOCK (4) is very honest and is always a chance in this class. BUSLIN BRODY (7) speedy type that rarely runs a poor race and can’t be dismissed. JESSICAS STORY (2) MAGIC LAW (3) and COUNTESS CHIRON (8) have place and first four claims.
EARLY SPEED: 1,2,3,4
SELECTIONS: ABBIE (1) KYVALLEY JETSTREAM (11) THIRD EYE (6) TE AMO (10)
RATINGS: 1/ 11/ 6/ 10/ 4/ 7/ 2/ 3/ 8
SUGGESTED BET: ABBIE (1) to Win.
Race 7:
OVERVIEW: ROMEO (7) promising youngster that was very impressive winning last and has plenty more scope for improvement. Looks hard to hold out again. AMADA VILLMA (4) will strip fitter from her first up run and has shown ability. Can measure up here. HELLAVA DEAL (3) nice filly that won well at Mildura at her race debut and is sure to have benefited from that race experience and must be respected again. SUMTHIN ELSE (1) lightly raced filly that resumes and has a nice draw. Will get every chance. POSTIT LAFITE (6) nice effort to win last start and has claims again along with COVERED IN GOLD (8) that returns from NSW. TOP THRILL (5) and DE BEAU ROCK (11) are improving types that have place and first four claims.
EARLY SPEED: 4,6,7
SELECTIONS: ROMEO (7) AMADA VILLMA (4) HELLAVA DEAL (3) SUMTHIN ELSE (1)
RATINGS: 7/ 4/ 3/ 1/ 6/ 8/ 11
SUGGESTED BET: ROMEO (7) to Win.
Race 8:
OVERVIEW: WILLIAMS (3) was narrowly beaten last start having showed plenty of early speed. Looks well placed to give a big sight again. TED BEAR (5) talented 3yo that deserved to breakthrough for his maiden win last start. Can run well again. MOMENTUM SHIFT (6) consistent pacer that has been runner up at his past two starts and is sure to run well again for talented horsewoman Kylie Sugars. I AM ON THERUN (8) does have his share of raw talent, freshened up and though facing an awkward draw can’t be dismissed. MY MATE ACE (7) improving type having been placed at both starts to date. Drawn wide but has claims. MAJOR BYE (9) deserved to break through two starts ago after some encouraging performances. Did things wrong last start and is worthy of another chance. ROCKNROLL ROCKET (4) improving type that is going well and is amongst the place and first four chances along with DENVER MAN (1) and SPEEDY HEALEY (10).
EARLY SPEED: 3,5
SELECTIONS: WILLIAMS (3) TED BEAR (5) MOMENTUM SHIFT (6) MY MATE ACE (7)
RATINGS: 3/ 5/ 6/ 7/8/ 9/ 4/ 1/ 10
SUGGESTED BET: WILLIAMS (3) to Win.
Race 9:
OVERVIEW: EVILEYE (5) capable filly that should be at peak fitness for this and looks suited. Will appreciate the front line and expect a big showing. KEAYANG LEXI (4) has won both race starts in very narrow margins. Shows good ability and looking at doing it three times in a row. Hard to hold out. DAUGHTER OFDARKNES (6) bred to be good but is yet to fire with four unplaced runs. Easier here and can improve. SEASIDE LADY (7) OHANA BY THE SEA (3) QUICK CRUNCH (2) and LIKE A GAZELLE (1) can show improvement and are amongst the place and first four chances.
EARLY SPEED: 4,5
SELECTIONS: EVILEYE (5) KEAYANG LEXI (4) DAUGHTER OFDARKNES (6) SEASIDE LADY (7)
RATINGS: 5/ 4/ 6/ 7/ 3/ 2/ 1
SUGGESTED BET: EVILEYE (5) to Win.