Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Launceston 23rd February
We head to Launceston for a handy nine event card on Sunday night.
Sue Nien looks a good bet in race two as should lead throughout.
Eureka Jo will be too classy and should be winning.
Star Major can overcome the backmark and can take out race seven.
We Salute You looks well placed in race eight and can win.
RACE 1: 16:10pm The Bottle O Hadspen Stakes 1680m
This is for the 3yo and older and the consistent LEWICKI LEIS (3) looks to get his chance as draws well so will put himself into action and is the one to beat. Stablemate POST KEG (6) has every possible last time so will need to be better here if is to overcome the wide draw. BROADWAY BLING (1) and MY MATE LUKE (4) have been thereabouts of late and will be again here. VINCENTS RAINBOW (2), SPORTY CHICK (5) and TERESA DILLON (7) round out the field and wouldn’t entirely shock.
TOP PICK: Lewicki Leis (3) is the hardest to beat.
DANGERS: Post Keg (6) is the danger along with My Mate Luke (4).
ROUGHIE: Teresa Dillon (7) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 3-1 4 6-2 5 7
SUGGESTED BET: Lewicki Leis 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 3-1 4 6-field $30 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Lewicki Leis and My Mate Luke will look to get up on speed early.
RACE 2: 16:49pm North West Tasmanian Light Harness Association Mares Feature 2200m
Here we have a race for the 4yo and older Mares and the inform SUE NIEN (1) is the one to beat after a pair of successive wins of late so from the pole should hold up be too quick. DIAMONDSNBLUE (5) is another inform mare who looks a player despite drawing a little wide. DONE WELL (3) has been thereabouts of late and will get a soft run so wouldn’t shock. OUR MIKI DIVA (2) and JUST FOLLOW ME (6) are capable of running into a minor placing for exotic players.
TOP PICK: Sue Nien (1) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Diamondsnblue (5) is the danger along with Done Well (3).
ROUGHIE: Our Miki Diva (2) has the soft draw so can improve.
RATINGS: 1-3 5-2 4-6
SUGGESTED BET: Sue Nien 6units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-3 5-2 3 4 5 $24 flexi 400%
LIKELY LEADER: Sue Nien should hold up.
RACE 3: 17:19pm Ladbrokes Racing Club Stakes 1680m
This is for the 50-56 rated pacers over the short trip. FIVE STAR SHARK (1) grows a leg in front and from the pole should hold up and will give plenty of cheek. CHEETAH LODGE (8) will push through on his back and if the gap opens up will get close. SABINE (3) will sit just behind them so can be around the mark. WATCH IT HAPPEN (11) continues to race well and if gets the right cart into the race he can run past his rivals. DENNY (4), LOYOLA TRIOS (7) and GOBSMACKED (9) are a trio that are capable if the breaks come their way.
TOP PICK: Five Star Shark (1) looks an e/w play.
DANGERS: Watch It Happen (11) looks a danger along with Cheetah Lodge (8).
ROUGHIE: Gobsmacked (9) always a chance in these races.
RATINGS: 1-3 4 7 8 9 11-5 6 10 12 13
SUGGESTED BET: Five Star Shark 1unit win-2units place
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 3 7 8 9 11 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Five Star Shark should be holding up.
RACE 4: 18:04pm Victory Images Photography Stakes 2200m
This for the 64-74 pacers. TOUGH SHAZ (1) was impressive winning last time and despite this being stronger will take beating off the pole. MR BONDI (4) is a consistent type who should settle close enough to be in the finish. DE GOEY (5) is a classy type looking to recapture his best and if he does he can win this easily. KILLARNEY DANCE (2), NANCESTIGER (3) and NATIONAL NEWS (11) are a trio that are racing well so are a must for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Tough Shaz (1) is the hardest to beat.
DANGERS: De Goey (5) is the danger along with Mr Bondi (4).
ROUGHIE: Nancestiger (3) is next best.
RATINGS: 1-4 5-2 3 11-7 8 9 10-6
SUGGESTED BET: Tough Shaz 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-4 5-2 3 4 5 11$20 flexi 250%
LIKELY LEADER: Tough Shaz will be looking to hold them out.
RACE 5: 18:42pm Harry Holgate Memorial 2200m
This is the Harry Holgate memorial and it looks a competitive race. EUREKA JO (4) will be better for her first up run and should push forward and bully her way to the lead and from there be too quick on the run to the line. NEON (2) has been super in both runs for Adam Rattray and has the draw to settle just behind them so can run the exacta placing. KOSYGIN LEIS (5) TWILIGHT BONNIE (6) and SMOKESCREEN (7) are three that are always around the mark and look the likely pacers to fill the third and fourth placings.
TOP PICK: Eureka Jo (4) should be too classy.
DANGERS: Neon (2) is the danger along with Kosygin Leis (5).
ROUGHIE: Twilight Bonnie (6) is next best
RATINGS: 4-2 5-6 7-3-1
SUGGESTED BET: Eureka Jo 10units win
EXOTIC BET: Exacta 4-2 $20 flexi 2000% - Trifecta 4-2-5 6 7 $30 flexi 1000%
LIKELY LEADER: Eureka Jo should bully her way to the lead.
RACE 6: 19:12pm Ladbrokes Mates Mode Hosted Pots 2200m
this is a race for the open class pacers and we see the return of MAGICIAN (8) from NSW where he didn’t go as well as expected. He resumes into a pretty strong race so will be interesting to see how he goes as his best would win this. MAGNETIC TERROR (6) is in the zone at the moment and he was able to roll forward and find the top he will take plenty of running down. THE SHALLOWS (10) has returned in career best form and will be getting home hard. MISS PAPENHUYZEN (5), BLITZERN (7) and COOL WATER PADDY (9) can sneak a minor placing to spice up the exotics.
TOP PICK: Magician (8) im happy to go with him as will be good odds.
DANGERS: Magnetic Terror (6) looks the danger along with The Shallows (10).
ROUGHIE: Blitzern (7) can run into a placing at odds.
RATINGS: 8-6 10-5 7 9-2 4-1 3
SUGGESTED BET: Magician 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 8-6 10-5 6 7 9 10 $24 flexi
LIKELY LEADER: Magnetic Terror will be looking to push forward to the lead.
RACE 7: 19:44pm Rodney Burgess Patrons Marathon 2698m
This is for the 70 or better pacers under the stand start conditions. STAR MAJOR (11) looks well suited despite the 30m as gets plenty of time to make it up so is the one to beat. HOT DEAL (10) is the fellow backmarker and was good last time so only needs to produce that effort to be in the finish. JUST TIGER (6) is always thereabouts and if the luck comes his way he is capable as are the likes of STEPPING STONES (2), OUT OF EDEN (3) and KEAYANG FITZY (9) who can figure also but more for the wider exotics.
TOP PICK: Star Major (11) happy to go with him.
DANGERS: Hot Deal (10) is the danger along with Just Tiger (6).
ROUGHIE: Stepping Stones (2) sneaky chance at odds.
RATINGS: 11-2 3 6 9 10-1 4 5 8-7
SUGGESTED BET: Star Major 3units win – Stepping Stones 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 11-2 3 6 9 10-2 3 6 9 10 $30 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Jorge Street will be looking to step in top.
RACE 8: 20:19pm Ladbrokes Blackbook Pace 2200m
Here we have a 57-63 rated affair. BLACKBIRD MISS (1) resumes from a let up and draws ideally to figure as should settle leaders back and look to get a crack at them late. WE SALUTE YOU (8) drops in grade and has drawn to get the run he likes so is a player. ONEHANDONEBOUNCE (4) had his chance last week and this is a race where he can feature again along with SETTEBELLO (3), IDEN BLACK PRINCE (5) and AMBIGUOUS (9).
TOP PICK: We Salute You (8) will take plenty of holding out.
DANGERS: Blackbird Miss (1) is the danger along with Settebello (3).
ROUGHIE: Iden Black Prince (5) has a knack of bobbing up at odds now and then.
RATINGS: 1 8-3 4 5 9-2 6-7
SUGGESTED BET: We Salute You 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1 8-1 8-3 4 5 6 9 $20 flexi 200% - 1 8-3 4 5 6 9-1 8 $15 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Settebello will look to work across Blackbird Miss early.
RACE 9: 20:54pm Tasmanian Horse Transport Pace 1680m
The last of the night is for the 3yo and older pacers. KINGOFTHEKLONDIKE (7) got a well deserved win last time and despite drawing wide can go back to back. KOSTYUK LEIS (3) was a good winner two runs back so if can find the early lead will give some cheek. NOT YET MUM (8) is always around the mark so with a cart into the race can be dangerous late. CINCINNATI (2) and IDEN OLIVER (4) are a couple to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Kingoftheklondike (7) will be hard to beat.
DANGERS: Kosytuk Leis (3) is the danger along with Not Yet Mum (8).
ROUGHIE: Iden Oliver (4) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 7-2 3 4 8-6-1 5
SUGGESTED BET: Kingoftheklondike 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 7-2 3 4 8-2 3 4 8 $24 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Kosytuk Leis will be pushing forward early.
