Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Hobart 21st February
We head to Hobart for a handy eight event card on Friday night so let’s find some winners.
Kiavino Stride looks a good bet in race two where he should be too strong for his rivals.
Triple Vinnies can get the job done again in what looks a great clash with Lucylou.
The best value of the night is Loyola Trios in race seven.
Moneys No Issue cam send punters home on a winning note in the last.
RACE 1: 17:40pm Fehlbergs Produce Sprintlane Pace 2090m
The first of the night is for the 3yo and older pacers. ATTAGIRL (5) was able to get the job done last week leading throughout but has drawn wide so won’t get it as easy but is still a leading player. NORBET (6) was good two starts back and couldn’t get into the race last time and this is easier so can win. PEANUT SUTTER (1) has drawn to get the soft trip so has sneaky claims at odds. MIKIS JOE (3) and GRIMSHAW BAY (4) bring good form into the race so have to be kept safe in what is a tricky race.
TOP PICK: Norbet (6) will be some value and happy to go his way.
DANGERS: Attagirl (5) is the danger along Mikis Joe (3).
ROUGHIE: Peanut Sutter (1) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 6-1 3 4 5-2
SUGGESTED BET: Norbet 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 6-field-field $20 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Grimshaw Bay and Attagirl will look to push forward early.
RACE 2: 18:27pm Cavalor Equicare Pace 2090m
This is for the up to 39 rated pacers. KIAVINO STRIDE (9) looks well placed as will push through early and get put into the race and look to out stay his rivals. ARMA ROLLING STONE (6) is racing well so with a bit of luck early he will make his presence felt along with the likes of LOU LOUS ALLGOLD (4) who has been close up of late. RESURGENT HUNGER (1), MY ULTIMATE JACKO (3) BRIAN WHO (7) and DAPPER (8) are a quartet that has to be include in the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Kiavino Stride (9) looks a good thing.
DANGERS: Arma Rolling Stone (6) is a danger along with Lou Lous Allgold (4).
ROUGHIE: Brian Who (7) is capable off a knockout chance.
RATINGS: 9-4 6-1 3 7-2 5 8
SUGGESTED BET: Kiavino Stride 6units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 9-4 6-field $21 flexi 150%- 9-field-4 6 $21 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Resurgent Hunger and Lou Lous Allgold will look to push forward early.
RACE 3: 18:58pm Tasmanian Horse Transport Pace 2090m
This is for the 4yo and older pacers and brings some promising pacers together. LETS GO LUCYLOU (6) is looking to make it a winning hat-trick and if can settle in front of his major rival it will take her a long way to winning. TRIPLE VINNIES (7) was arrogant winning last week and he is suited by the small field and has the motor to take this out. TWILIGHT BONNIE (1), CAN FEEL THE FURY (4) AURORA REASON (5) are a trio that have been close up of late so are a must for the exotics along with SOUTHERN LUCK (3) who’s getting back to form.
TOP PICK: Triple Vinnies (7) no reason to jump off.
DANGERS: Lets Go Lucylou (6) is the danger along with Can Feel The Fury (4).
ROUGHIE: Southern Luck (3) can sneak into a placing.
RATINGS: 7-6-1 3 4 5-2
SUGGESTED BET: Triple Vinnies 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 7-6-1 3 4 5 $20 flexi 500% - 7-1 3 4 5-6 $12 flexi 300%
LIKELY LEADER: Can feel the Fury will be looking for the lead.
RACE 4: 19:27pm Prydes Easifeed Pace 1609m
Here we have a race for the 40-44 rated pacers and it’s a tough one. CINOCAL JAMANE (10) will be a bit of value and happy to go his way on an e/w basis. STRAWBERRY BLING (3) and TWILIGHT BEACH (4) have been around the mark of late and have the draws to settle handy so can figure. COLBY ART (6) will be better for last weeks’ effort so include along with the likes of MORRIS BROWN (1), SAPPHIRE GAMBLER (7) and STAROFREMBERANCE (9) who will be better for her first up run.
TOP PICK: Cinocal Jamane (10) is a bit of value.
DANGERS: Twilight Beach (4) is the danger along with Colby Art (6).
ROUGHIE: Sapphire Gambler (7) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 10-3 4 6 7-1 2 8 9-5
SUGGESTED BET: Cinocal Jamane 1unit e/w - Sapphire Gambler 1unit e/w
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 3 4 6 7 9 10 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Twilight Beach will look to push forward with Strawberry Bling.
RACE 5: 19:57pm Morey’s Sports & Music Tours Pace 2090m
This is for the 45-49 rated pacers and its another tough one. MANINKY MOONSHINE (3) should be fitter after two runs back and draws low so can improve. The same can be said for EMER (5) especially if can slot in early. MON SOLIEL (2) is the query first up in the State from the inform stable so watch for a positive market move as a guide to his chances. MIDNIGHT DANCER (4) was ok last time and only needs a repeat effort to be around the mark with the likes of BEAST MODE (9), RANIERI (10) and WHERE YA BIN (11) who all need to be included for the wider exotics.
TOP PICK: Emer (5) just going his way in a tough race.
DANGERS: Maninky Moonshine (3) is a danger along with Ranieri (10).
ROUGHIE: Beast Mode (9) has a chance at odds.
RATINGS: 5-2 3 4 9 10 11-6 8-1 7 12
SUGGESTED BET: Emer 2units win- Beast Mode 1unit e/w
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 2 3 5 9 10 11 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Binalong Bay can hold but could take cover behind Maninky Moonshine.
RACE 6: 20:27pm Ladbrokes Racing Club Pace 2090m
This is for the 50-52 pacers and the inform DIAMONDSNBLUE (12) will be looking to overcome the wide back draw but with even luck she will take plenty of holding out. SUNSHINE SAINT (1) has the draw to lead early so will get every chance. DONE WELL (5) has been close up of late and only needs some cover early. SVITOLINA LEIS (4), ROCK THE TABLEAU (6), NO NUKES SKIPPER (8), SHOOBEES SPIRIT (10) and DEBT TILL WE PART (11) are all capable of being in the finish if the breaks come their way in running.
TOP PICK: Diamondsnblue (12) will stick with her.
DANGERS: Sunshine Saint (1) is a danger along with Done Well (5).
ROUGHIE: Debt till we Part (11) wouldn’t shock.
RATINGS: 12-1 5 8 10 11-4 6 7 9-2 3
SUGGESTED BET: Diamondsnblue 2units win- Debt till we Part 1unit e/w.
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 5 8 10 11 12 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Sunshine Saint will be looking to hold Ready to Rock early.
RACE 7: 20:52pm Tasmania Cup 22nd March Pace 1609m
This is a competitive 57-63 over the sprint trip. LOYOLA TRIOS (5) is knocking on the door and if can get some cover and be close looks a good value play. ARDEN ROANOKE (7) and SHARMEY (8) are both racing well in this class so will be major players at the business end. BETTER EXCLUSIVE (1) is first up for the new stable and draws ideally to bounce back to winning form as has the speed to hold up. SPOOKY GIRL (3) and JEREMY WELLS (4) are a couple to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Loyola Trios (5) happy to have a few coins on e/w.
DANGERS: Arden Roanoke (7) is the danger along with Better Exclusive (1).
ROUGHIE: Jeremy Wells (4) looks the best value.
RATINGS: 5-1 7 8-3 4-2 6
SUGGESTED BET: Loyola Trios 1unit e/w
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 4 5 7 8 $30 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Better Exclusive has the speed to hold up if they want.
RACE 8: 21:22pm Smithawards Pace 2090m
The last of the night is for the 53-56 rated pacers. PARK LANE (6) was very impressive last week when well supported so if runs up to that effort looks hard to beat. MONEYS NO ISSUE (8) is working up to another win and draws to get a good run through so will take plenty of holding out. GRIZZLY MONTANA (2) has the draw and has been close up of late so has a sneaky chance. ASHANTE QUEEN (3) and AXE AND DEEZ (4) are a couple that can run into a placing for exotic players.
TOP PICK: Moneys No issue (8) this looks his race.
DANGERS: Park Lane (6) is the danger along with Grizzly Montana (2)
ROUGHIE: Ave and Deez (4) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 8-2 6-3 4-1 5 7
SUGGESTED BET: Moneys No Issue 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 6 8-6 8-field $30 flexi 250% - 6 8-field-6 8 $24 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Grizzly Montana and Puntarno Stride will look to push forward.
