Form Analysis by Craig Rail

Race 1:

 

OVERVIEW: DESSIE GEE (9) appears to be extremely well placed against this line up and should prove hard to beat. He commenced from the inside of the second line and was shuffled back on the markers mid-race when a handy finishing fourth behind Maxnjax at Metropolitan level last outing. MADIGAN (8) has the perfect trailing draw behind the likely leader HE’S NO ROMEO (1) and he ran a game race for fourth in the St Arnaud Cup last week so he must be considered as a winning chance. PESCI (5) was a winner at Bendigo three starts ago and finished off quickly for third in the St Arnaud Cup. He is racing in peak form and is worth thought again. HES NO ROMEO (1) is stepping up in class from his latest Melton victory but he is a brilliant beginner and is drawn perfectly over the sprint distance so a forward showing is expected.

 

EARLY SPEED: 1 (likely leader), 3,7

SELECTIONS: DESSIE GEE (9), MADIGAN (8), PESCI (5), HES NO ROMEO (1)

RATINGS: 9/ 5,8/ 1,7/ 2,3/ FIELD

SUGGESTED BET: DESSIE GEE (9) to win

 

Race 2:

 

OVERVIEW: SHAQ (13) is terribly drawn but he appears to be well graded and he is tough enough to be in the finish. He worked hard and recorded a slick mile rate of 1.55.1 when he scored at Bendigo two starts ago then had little luck at Kilmore. FINAL BOW (1) led throughout and dominated her rivals at Kilmore then endured a wide trip at her latest Echuca third. She is stepping up in class but is drawn to suit her racing pattern. BETTER BLUE BOYS (4) missed out at Swan Hill last outing but his form prior was sound including two all of the way victories at Mildura. He should be prominent throughout from his good draw. ASMILEANDAWINX (11) didn’t have a great deal of luck at St Arnaud last week and she has been competitive at a much higher level than this event previously so she is worth an investment.

 

 

EARLY SPEED: 1 (possible leader), 4,6

SELECTIONS: SHAQ (13), FINAL BOW (1), BETTER BLUE BOYS (4), ASMILEANDAWINX (11)

RATINGS: 1,13/ 4,11/ 9/ 7,10/ FIELD

SUGGESTED BET: SHAQ (13) each way

 

Race 3:

 

OVERVIEW: HOME AND DRY (5) is likely to be aggressively driven from his reasonable draw and will take catching if he is able to find the lead. He endured a tough trip when a brave second behind Glenline two starts ago. INTERPRETATION (13) used some energy to work around the field in the middle stages and battled on okay for fourth at Echuca last week. She possesses a powerful finishing burst when she gains the right trail forward and is worth another chance. MIDNIGHT MOJO (8) is likely to be shuffled back on the markers from the inside of the second line but she will appreciate a drop back in class and should be finding the line nicely once she gains a clear passage. MISS JOPLIN (9) didn’t fire in three starts last preparation and was sent out for another break. She has ability when she is able to put it altogether and cannot be left out of calculations. AMADA VILLMA (10) and SHAZZA LOVE (11) are both capable of showing up without surprising.

 

EARLY SPEED: 4 (likely early leader), 5,6

SELECTIONS: HOME AND DRY (5), INTERPRETATION (13), MIDNIGHT MOJO (8), MISS JOPLIN (9)

RATINGS: 5,13/ 8/ 9,10,11/ 4,6,7

SUGGESTED BET: HOME AND DRY (5) each way

 

Race 4:

 

OVERVIEW: FAVOURITEHIGHLIGHT (4) is working her way up to a win against this class and should be prominent throughout from her good draw. She has been beaten by a narrow margin after doing all of the work in the run at her past two attempts. JOEYS HANGOVER (5) broke stride and lost his opportunity when unplaced at Echuca last week. He attempted to lead throughout when third at Kilmore prior and he will be aiming to find a forward position again from his reasonable draw. PRINCESS ARNA (13) will be giving the leaders a big start early from the extreme draw but she produced a career best performance when a close second behind I’m The Wild One in a slick mile rate of 1.54.9 last week so she is not to be underestimated. KIMCHI (8) is racing consistently and should be finding the line well from her trailing draw.

 

EARLY SPEED: 5 (likely leader), 2,3,4,6

SELECTIONS: FAVOURITEHIGHLIGHT (4), JOEYS HANGOVER (5), PRINCESS ARNA (13), KIMCHI (8)

RATINGS: 4/ 5,13/ 8/ 6,10,11

SUGGESTED BET: FAVOURITEHIGHLIGHT (4) each way

 

Race 5:

 

OVERVIEW: AMPHIJET (10) will appreciate a big drop back in class for this assignment and should go well despite the poor draw. He finished a close up fourth behind Strapping Red at Metropolitan level prior to a fifth in the Swan Hill Pacing Cup. KATUNGA EXPRESS (11) has also been racing consistently at a higher level and should be competitive. He finished off nicely from a rearward position when fourth behind Always The Showman at Kilmore last outing. SHARP INTEREST (9) didn’t appear to appreciate the smaller track at Echuca last outing and eventually broke stride. He was a big winner at Shepparton prior and is worth another chance. MAD PUNTA (7) showed exceptional gate speed to lead from the outside alley and delivered a career best performance to win in a mile rate of 1.56.8 at Echuca last outing. He is a good chance of finding the lead again and must be respected.

 

EARLY SPEED: 7 (likely leader), 4,6

SELECTIONS: AMPHIJET (10), KATUNGA EXPRESS (11), SHARP INTEREST (9), MAD PUNTA (7)

RATINGS: 10,11/ 9/ 7/ 6/ 8

SUGGESTED BET: AMPHIJET (10) each way

 

Race 6:

 

OVERVIEW: QUIRKY CHARACTER (9) is still learning but he has ability when he can put it altogether and is worth following. He worked home well for third behind Lillys Tiger then missed the start and couldn’t recover in a heat of the Super Series last week. KYVALLEY JETSTREAM (10) also has gait issues but has the class to test this field. He ran a big race for second behind Centurion Dream three starts ago and couldn’t recover after a slow getaway at Maryborough last outing. MIDNITE MUSCLE (7) possesses early speed and should gain a prominent position despite the wide draw. He led throughout to win at Kilmore two starts ago then was gunned down by Settle The Bill over the latter stages when second on Thursday night. SPANISH RIZARDO (3) hasn’t raced since January but he has been performing well at the Bendigo trials and it wouldn’t surprise to see him run a big race first up.

 

EARLY SPEED: 3 (possible leader), 4,6,7

SELECTIONS: QUIRKY CHARACTER (9), KYVALLEY JETSTREAM (10), MIDNITE MUSCLE (7), SPANISH RIZARDO (3)

RATINGS: 9,10/ 7/ 3/ 6

SUGGESTED BET: QUIRKY CHARACTER (9) each way

 

Race 7:

 

OVERVIEW: RIDDLEMETHIS (5) is a maiden from 34 starts but he has been racing very well of late and gets his chance to break through for a win. He fought hard when second behind Rocknlena at Kilmore two starts ago and he beat the remainder of the field by over thirty metres, which is a very good form reference for this event. BOUY (10) finished off well from a long way back when second behind Tommys Lookout at Kilmore two starts ago. This race is no harder so he is not without a chance. COLMAN SIGN (9) is backing up quickly from his debut performance at Cranbourne on Sunday. His trial form is okay so he cannot be dismissed. TALKBABYTALK (1) will appreciate his best draw for some time and he was placed behind Colossal Hope and Jilliby Kymy Lou (both won since) at Terang three starts ago so he warrants consideration.

 

EARLY SPEED: 5 (possible leader), 1,2

SELECTIONS: RIDDLEMETHIS (5), BOUY (10), COLMAN SIGN (9), TALKBABYTALK (1)

RATINGS: 5/ 10/ 1,9/ 6,8

SUGGESTED BET: RIDDLEMETHIS (5) to win

 

Race 8:

 

OVERVIEW: BROTHER MOUNTAIN (9) is a talented juvenile trotter that is resuming since a fourth behind Howdy Mate in the Nutrien Classic on September 13. He won his Maiden on debut then his next four appearances were all in feature events so he appears to be well placed here. RASENGAN (8) finished off too well to score at Melton prior to working home okay for fifth on the first day of the Redwood Carnival. He has struck peak form and must be considered as one of the leading chances. BAT OUT OF HILL (1) found the front and broke stride approaching the home corner at his latest attempt. He flew through the middle when an impressive winner at Shepparton prior so he is worth another chance. SKY LINDY (3) ran a reasonable race for third behind Settle The Bill at Kilmore last week and is worth a ticket each way. SINGARA TED (7) has ability when trotting at his peak form and rates as a knockout chance.  

 

EARLY SPEED: 1 (possible leader), 4,5

SELECTIONS: BROTHER MOUNTAIN (9), RASENGAN (8), BAT OUT OF HILL (1), SKY LINDY (3)

RATINGS: 9/ 1,8/ 3/ 6,7

SUGGESTED BET: BROTHER MOUNTAIN (9) to win

 

Race 9:

 

OVERVIEW: RAGAZZO MAJOR (3) is a former New Zealand pacer, which joins trainer Isabel Walsh. He finished a close third behind the Metropolitan pacer Roarforroscoe at his latest trial performance so he should give a bold showing under these conditions. WILLIAMS (2) is stepping up in class but he showed very good gate speed to lead at St Arnaud and completely dominated his rivals so he is worth thought again from his handy draw. RUBY WINGATE (5) finished off quickly to down Mack Pack in a mile of 1.55.6 at Charlton last outing. She possesses high speed and she has won six races for the season so she must be included amongst the leading chances. DIEING ART (4) recently returned from Queensland and she didn’t have a great deal of luck when second at Wagga last outing so she is not without a chance.

 

EARLY SPEED: 2 (likely leader), 3,5

SELECTIONS: RAGAZZO MAJOR (3), WILLIAMS (2), RUBY WINGATE (5), DIEING ART (4)

RATINGS: 3/ 2,5/ 4/ 1,8

SUGGESTED BET: RAGAZZO MAJOR (3) to win