Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Burnie 19th January
We head to Burnie for there feature meeting of the Year the Burnie Cup and it brings together an even field where im leaning towards Windy Hanover from the front line.
Weona Eagle can punters off to a good start in race one of the night.
Soulwriter looks a great e/w play in race three.
Happy to go e/w Rambunctious again race five.
Windy Hanover in the Cup with a saver on Keayang Fitzy at odds.
RACE 1: 14:09pm Burnie Harness Racing Pace 2180m
The first of the afternoon is for the 4yo and older pacers. WEONA EAGLE (4) has been racing well and will find this easier so can push forward and control the race from the breeze and should win. FEELINKINDALUCKY (1) has the pole and should be able to hold them out early so is a danger along with CEE TEE CHELSEA (3) and MIKIYOURSOFINE (6) who are both than capable of figuring. MEMPHIS (2) can fill a placing for the exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Weona Eagle (4) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Feelinkindalucky (1) is the danger along with Cee Tee Chelsea (3).
ROUGHIE: Mikiyoursofine (6) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 4-1 3 6-2-5
SUGGESTED BET: Weona Eagle 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 4-1 2 3 6-1 2 3 6 $24 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: Feelinkindalucky will be looking to hold Weona Eagle early.
RACE 2: 14:40pm En Vogue Modelling & Events Pace 2180m
This is for the up to 44 rated pacers and it looks a competitive affair. PISTOL QUEEN (2) is racing well so if can work across early to the pegs will take catching. MORRIS BROWN (1) has the pole so will be hoping to take advantage of it and if was able to hold can give some cheek. DEADLY ASSASSIN (9) races ok around here and did win from a similar draw five runs back so can figure at odds. IM QUITE AMERICAN (4), LALIBELA (6), DAPPER (7) and VELOCITY STRIDE (8) are a quartet that are capable if the breaks came their way so all need to be included for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Pistol Queen (2) is the one they have to beat.
DANGERS: Morris Brown (1) is the danger along with Deadly Assassin (9).
ROUGHIE: Dapper (7) sneaky chance at odds.
RATINGS: 2-1 9-4 6 7 8-3 5
SUGGESTED BET: Pistol Queen 2units win-Deadly Assassin 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2 9-1 2 9-1 2 4 6 7 8 9 $24 flexi 100%- 2 9-1 2 4 6 7 8 9-2 9 $18 flexi 75%
LIKELY LEADER: Morris Brown will be looking to hold Pistol Queen early.
RACE 3: 15:15pm Ladbrokes Odds Surge Pace 2180m
This is another for the up to 44 rated pacers. SOULWRITER (7) has had no luck of late so is due and this looks a winnable race so look for her to be getting home hard. COLBY ART (6) gets a soft run and this looks easier so will take holding put if the run comes. OUR ARABELLA (2), HORRIE OTARA (4) and SAPPHIRE GAMBLER (5) are well up to winning this with a bit of luck early so all need to be kept safe. MTY ULTIMATE JACKO (3) and BRIAN WHO (8) are out of form but wouldn’t shock if improved.
TOP PICK: Soulwriter (7) happy to go her way.
DANGERS: Colby Art (6) is the danger along with Sapphire Gambler (5).
ROUGHIE: Horrie Otara (4) is the best value.
RATINGS: 7-2 4 5 6-1 3 8
SUGGESTED BET: Soulwriter 2units win- Colby Art 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 6 7-2 4 5 6 7 8-2 4 5 6 7 8 $20 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Bolt Your Socks On can hold them if they want.
RACE 4: 15:55pm Burnie Trophy Centre Pace 2180m
This is for the 45-54 and brings together a handy field LAID BACK KENNY (7) gets a handy trailing draw so will push forward and be close enough to get his chance late. BROADWAY BLING (1) was good last week and draws the pole so if could kick through early and hold up will be very hard to beat. SUNSHINE SAINT (4) has been close up of late and should be again but might have to sit parked. MY TANYA LEE (2), PARK LANE (6) and MACH ANGELO (8) are a trio trained by Wayne Yole and wouldn’t shock if they were able to get the job done.
TOP PICK: Laid Back Kenny (7) is a worth a few coins e/w.
DANGERS: Broadway Bling (1) looks a danger along with Sunshine Saint (4).
ROUGHIE: Park Lane (6) gets the perfect draw to figure.
RATINGS: 7-1 2 4 6 8-3 5
SUGGESTED BET: Laid Back Kenny and Broadway Bling 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1 7-1 2 4 6 7 8-1 2 4 6 7 8 $30 flexi 75%
LIKELY LEADER: Sunshine Saint will have a crack at getting across with Broadway Bling and My Tanya Lee looking to hold.
RACE 5: 16:37pm Cape View Nursery Pace 1892m
This is a stand start for the up to 44 rated pacers where WHATTA GOOD REASON (2) will be looking to ping on top early and from there will take plenty of catching. RAMBUNCTIOUS (4) is getting close to a win so if can just slot in behind them will get his chance late. KENS CHIPS (8) and ONEOFTHELADS (10) have saluted in recent weeks so only need to run up to that form to have claims. CHRIS BE QUICK (3), LOU LOUS ALLGOLD (6), SCRUB BASHER (7) are a trio that can give some cheek if the breaks come their way.
TOP PICK: Whatta Good Reason (2) has the manners so is the one to beat.
DANGERS: Rambunctious (4) is the danger along with Chris Be Quick (3).
ROUGHIE: Kens Chips (8) has a sneaky chance.
RATINGS: 2 4-3 6 7 8 9 10-5
SUGGESTED BET: Whatta Good Reason and Rambunctious 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2 4-2 4-3 6 7 8 9 10 $18 flexi 150% - 2 4-3 6 7 8 9 10-2 4 $15 flexi 125%
LIKELY LEADER: Whatta Good Reason will be looking to ping in top early.
RACE 6: 17:19pm 7BU Burnie Cup 2789m
This is the feature the 7BU Burnie Cup and it brings together a handy field. WINDY HANOVER (1) is the lone front row runner so with a safe beginning he will give them plenty to chase if lobs on top. GORDONS BAY (3) finds his way back to Tasmania after struggling in Nsw so if can bring something like his best can figure. ALL BY MYSELF (6) is always a chance in these country cups with a bit of luck at the right time so can win as can KEAYANG FITZY (7), JIMMY THE IRISHMAN (8) and DIAMONDS N CASH (10) if they get the breaks at the right time. THE CHANCER (2) creates plenty of interest first up in the State for Dylan Ford as gets a good draw so only needs to step early to be a player.
TOP PICK: Windy Hanover (1) think he leads early so going his way.
DANGERS: All By Myself (6) is a danger along with the Gordons Bay (3).
ROUGHIE: Keayang Fitzy (7) looks a great value play.
RATINGS: 1-2 3 6 7 8 10-5-4 9
SUGGESTED BET: Windy Hanover 2units win- Keayang Fitzy 1unit win.
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 2 3 6 7 10 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Windy Hanover will be looking to ping on top early.
RACE 7: 17:57pm Relay for Life Pace 2180m
This is for the 45 or better pacer from the tapes. DIAMONDSNBLUE (1) has been super at her past two and only needs to go away safely to clearly be the one to beat. TOP HANOVER (2) is the value as can ping at times and if found the top will take some catching. QUEENOFDANCE (3) and WHERE YA BIN (4) can both ping at times so if either was able to lob on top they have some chance. RANIERI (5), OUR RUBY ROSE (6) and GOTTAHAVEAHOBBIE (7) are next best.
TOP PICK: Diamondsnblue (1) is the one they have to beat.
DANGERS: Top Hanover (2) is a danger along with Where Ya Bin (4).
ROUGHIE: Ranieri (5) this is the type of race he could bob up in.
RATINGS: 1-2 3 4-5 6 7 8 9
SUGGESTED BET: Diamondnblue 3units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2 3 4-field $21 flexi 100% - 1-field-2 3 4 $21 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Top Hanover will look to cross Diamondsnblue early.
RACE 8: 18:23pm Ladbrokes Blackbook Pace 2180m
The last of the night is for the 55 or better pacers. DONE WELL (2) is racing well and will be in the finish again as draws to settle up on speed. KARALTA ARTEMIS (8) nabbed the above right on the line last time so despite the 10m has to included again along with the likes of SNEAKY PEAK (4), JUST FOLLOW ME (5) AMBIGUOUS (7) and the back marker COLBY SANZ (11) who got back into the winners stall last time.
TOP PICK: Done Well (2) happy to lean his way.
DANGERS: Karalta Artemis (8) is the danger along with Sneaky Peak (4).
ROUGHIE: Colby Sanz (11) despite the 20m has a chance.
RATINGS: 2-4 5 7 8 11-1 3 9 10
SUGGESTED BET: Done Well 2units win- Karalta Artemis 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2 4 5 7 8 11 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Done Well and Sneaky Peak will be looking to ping early.