Form Analysis by Tim O'Connor

 

Race 1:

OVERVIEW: Runners from heats run at two venues move through to this final for pacers rated up to 55, and I’m keen on the form from those that competed at Geelong on March 13. On that occasion, KEAYANG SWEETHEART (10) was able to lead and just hold off THE ART OF SUCCESS (11), who ran a huge race from the chair. Both were unbeaten, first-up from long breaks and appear to have bright futures. Based off that clash, I fancy the latter can turn the tables in what should be an intriguing affair. MORRIS BROWN (5) worked to the breeze and toughed it out to win the other heat at Ballarat so he must be respected, while FOREGONE CONCLUSION (1) ran a nice race for second behind the aforementioned rival at Bray Raceway and heads a stack of chances for the minor end of the prize.

SELECTIONS: THE ART OF SUCCESS (11), KEAYANG SWEETHEART (10), MORRIS BROWN (5), FOREGONE CONCLUSION (1)

Race 2:

OVERVIEW: Another final following heats at Geelong and Ballarat, but this time for the pacers rated up to 47. And unlike race one, I’m siding with a runner that came out of the Ballarat qualifiers in SHAZZA LOVE (10). She had been knocking on the door with a string of runner-up placings in better grade before unleashing a devastating sprint at Bray Raceway to win running away by 11m. Very hard to see anything reversing the form from that race, but the top two from the Geelong heat must be respected. ADMIRALOFTHEFLEET (12) gained a three-wide trail on JANIEBQUICK (13) at Beckley Park and ran her down in the straight to score. ARE WEASLEY (5) might be best of the rest following a brave death seat second to SHAZZA LOVE (10) and great win at Bendigo prior to that back on March 4, while potential early leader DELTA STARZ (2), NORMANDY NUGGET (3) and QUICK DECISION (4) are worth including at the back end of trifectas and First 4s.

BACK: SHAZZA LOVE (10) – 4 units (win)

SELECTIONS: SHAZZA LOVE (10), ADMIRALOFTHEFLEET (12), JANIEBQUICK (13), ARE WEASLEY (5)

Race 3:

OVERVIEW: KEAYANG RENEGADE (3) is an exciting prospect from the powerful Lee stable, and he resumed a winner in dominant fashion at Kilmore on March 12. He beat the highly-rated Quatro Moth there by a big margin and it looks like he might go around as a short-priced favourite here. He should be too good and can take his record to three starts for three wins. LOU EASYANA (4) showed good progression for Mattie Craven last campaign and resumes here from a break, THE DEVILS FLAME (5) was held up at Ballarat last time but I thought the run prior was very good from the chair, while RANGER RICK (8) showed some good ability last preparation and can perform well here along with TALLARAS SHADOW (10) and KEAYANG WASABI (11).

SELECTIONS: KEAYANG RENEGADE (3), LOU EASYANA (4), THE DEVILS FLAME (5), RANGER RICK (8)

Race 4:

OVERVIEW: Losing patience with ROMAN CHARLIE (2) a little bit, but will narrowly lean his way in a very winnable event from the good gate. He was three back the pegs before being severely hampered and then pulled up in a messy race at Ararat on Monday where he was favourite. He’d been running solid second placings before that, and I think there’s some untapped ability there. ONYX (7) ran past ROMAN CHARLIE (2) to win his maiden at Ballarat on March 2 and must have a chance despite the wide gate, KEAYANG ALABAMA (9) ran a good race from the chair in a slick last half two back at Kilmore and can be forgiven after not much luck at Ararat on Monday, there’s a big watch on BACKBEACH PETER (11) first-up for the Matthew Horsnell yard and following a huge 60m trial win at Mt Gambier, while BLUE MIKI (6) disappointed on return last week but should be given another chance based off some of his form last campaign. Hard race where not much would surprise!

SELECTIONS: ROMAN CHARLIE (2), KEAYANG ALABAMA (9), ONYX (7), BACKBEACH PETER (11).

Race 5:

OVERVIEW: A recent Terang trial has set the scene nicely for this maiden event, with KEAYANG DREAMGIRL (2) leading and dominating from the front to beat BETTORS IDEAL (7) and SNACK LOVER (1) into second and fifth respectively. Based off that, and another trial when she was only grabbed late by the very smart Mcbart, let’s side with KEAYANG DREAMGIRL (2). She looks to have nice ability and can win on debut. SNACK LOVER (1) is back at the races after a two-run campaign in October/November, which included a good debut third in a fast mile rate at Bendigo. From the ace draw, he’s certainly a chance. BETTORS IDEAL (7) boxed on well for second in that March 17 trial but has a tough gate to overcome, while FANTASY FLIGHT (6) was beaten as favourite following a tough death seat trip at Charlton, but the two runs prior were very good.

BACK: KEAYANG DREAMGIRL (2) – 3 units (win)

SELECTIONS: KEAYANG DREAMGIRL (2), SNACK LOVER (1), FANTASY FLIGHT (6), BETTORS IDEAL (7)

Race 6:

OVERVIEW: MIKI TO SUCCESS (10) has established himself as one of the up-and-coming stars of the sport with a string of top performances in recent months. He was huge running fourth in the AG Hunter Cup behind Swayzee, then sat parked to win at Melton and again in the recent Charlton Pacing Cup in track record time with a flat tyre. He’s airborne and is clearly the horse to beat here. Local chance JILLIBY NITRO (5) was a brilliant ambush winner of the Geelong Pacing Cup two runs ago and was left a bit flat-footed in a dash home over the sprint trip last weekend. He’s back to his favoured long distance event and is a key danger. OLIVER DAN (7) is a stablemate to MIKI TO SUCCESS (10) who has been competing in many of the big races and won’t be far away, while EASTBRO CHRISSY (2) led and beat CRIME WRITER (1), SPRINGFIELD AFFAIR (3) and OPERATIVE LINE (6) – who broke gear and was pulled up – in the recent Mt Gambier Country Cup. They’re all solid place chances.

SELECTIONS: MIKI TO SUCCESS (10), JILLIBY NITRO (5), OLIVER DAN (7), EASTBRO CHRISSY (2)

Race 7:

OVERVIEW: Team Lee look set to claim their third-straight Terang Trotters Cup, with JILLIBY BALLERINI (7) expected to follow in the footsteps of Keayang Chucky and win her hometown feature. She heads to Terang on the back of a runner-up placing behind megastar stablemate Keayang Zahara in the Group 1 Hammerhead Mile at Menangle and is well and truly in the conversation for the second best trotter in this country. The 30m handicap won’t be enough to stop her here. IMPERIAL MONARCH (6) hails from the same barn and was an impressive winner of the Geelong Trotters Cup two weeks ago, MEADOW VALLEY STAR (4) has been performing well in easier races with big handicaps, while EL RESAMO (5) got a dream trip last Saturday night at Melton to win a good race, but his stand start record isn’t great.

SELECTIONS: JILLIBY BALLERINI (7), IMPERIAL MONARCH (6), MEADOW VALLEY STAR (4), EL RESAMO (5)

Race 8:

OVERVIEW: COLTRANE (9) made a mistake, lost a stack of ground and rounded up his rivals to win his maiden by a huge margin at Ballarat in what was a super display on March 19. His manners are poor, but he could probably give away a start again here and still prevail on talent. MOREEP (8) won her last start at Melton before a break and heads here on the back of a nice Geelong trial win, RIDETHELIGHTNING (3) can be forgiven for the margin at Ararat on Monday and has sprinklings of form to like from last campaign, while METRO SWISH (5) finally put it all together when sitting parked to score at Geelong a fortnight ago in what was a good performance.

SELECTIONS: COLTRANE (9), MOREEP (8), RIDETHELIGHTNING (3), METRO SWISH (5)

Race 9:

OVERVIEW: HUXHAM CHUBB (8) was a winner at Terang in mid-February, and I fancy she can score her second victory here at this circuit in the last event on cup night. The Peter Manning four-year-old mare was a mile back and made up good ground to only be beaten 11.9m on Monday at Ararat, and before that probably should have won with clear air at Charlton. Keen. IM THE WILD ONE (2) was poor on resumption at Geelong a fortnight ago, but has led and won a race in 1:54.9 before, STAR RULER (6) has been okay in both runs for the Kyle Marshall stable, while ZWICK (5) is first-up from a break and can be thereabouts in this grade.

BACK: HUXHAM CHUBB (8) – 3 units (win)

SELECTIONS: HUXHAM CHUBB (8), IM THE WILD ONE (2), STAR RULER (6), ZWICK (5)

 

 

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