Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Launceston Sunday 20th July
RACE 1: 16:27pm Victory Images Photography Two Year Old 1680m
This is for the 2yo’s and it’s a tough one. MY FATAL CHARM (5) was beaten after getting a soft trip in front but there is no Daisypea here so gets her chance to go one better. ROCKY STRIDE (4) has been thereabouts and has the draw to be close enough to figure. SOHO TUXEDO (2) will be better for her first up run and draws to be in the finish. ZAV DAN (3), HIGH BELEIVER (6) and I GOTTA GO (7) are a trio that wouldn’t entirely shock.
RATINGS: 5-4-2-6
LIKELY LEADER: Soho Tuxedo will look to take advantage early and find the top.
RACE 2: 16:52pm Ladbrokes SRM In Multis Stakes 1680m
This looks the race for OURTIGER (3) as he should control the race from up front and from there they will be pushing to get past. BUDD SIDEWINDER (11) is a sit sprinter so if he can be close enough will get home strongly with the same being said for DEBT TILL WE PART (7) who has been close up of late. ITSMENOTU (4), ALBERIO (5), CINOCAL JAMANE (8) and VELOCITY STRIDE (10) are a quartet for the wider exotic players.
RATINGS: 3-11-7-10
LIKELY LEADER: Ourtiger will look to bully his way across early.
RACE 3: 17:24pm Ray Freeman Memorial 1680m
This is a competitive 60-69. MADDIS TIGER (13) was impressive last time leading throughout so drawing outside the second row makes it tougher but with a touch of luck can still win as they will run along. Stablemate OCTAGONISE (6) was well supported on that same race when having every chance but can bounce back. MAJOR LESTER (9) is always thereabout sand has a good trailing draw so can figure. ROYAL APPOINTMENT (10) will get a good cart into the race so looks a value play. RAY DAN (1). COLBY SANZ (4), SERENGETI SUNRISE (5), SUGARPOVA (8) and KIVIK (11) who will find this easier.
RATINGS: 13-10-6-9
LIKELY LEADER: Serengeti Sunrise will look to work across Settebello and Ray Dan early.
RACE 4: 17:59pm Ladbrokes Granny Smith Final 2698m
This is the first of the features the Granny Smith Sires Stakes for the 4yo Mares and its over the long trip. SWIATEK LEIS (3) is shooting for the threepeat of Sires Stakes win and showed in the prelude she is right on track after a peach of a drive. She has the draw to settle in front of her main rivals so is the hardest to beat. SABINE (7) is a model of consistency and will go back early so with the right trip into the race is the danger. LE BETTY (9) got very keen in her heat so hopefully from the draw will settle and that will allow to be in the finish. SPORTY CHICK (2), MISS DUTTON (5) and MOVESLIKEALADY (10) are a trio that wouldn’t entirely shock with the right trips in transit.
RATINGS: 3-7-9-2
LIKELY LEADER: Kosytuk Leis so will look to work across Tambros Tilly early.
RACE 5: 18:25pm Darrel Rockliff Graduate 2200m
This is a good race for the open class pacers. STAR MAJOR (8) has had a freshen up and will appreciate the absence of Triedtotellya so with a bit of luck early he can get off the pegs and then push forward and look to outstay his rivals. WATERMELON SUGAR (3) is flying and should sit just behind them so gets his chance late. THE SHALLOWS (5) hit the line strongly when resuming so if he can slot in early is some hope. STEPPING STONES (1), SPOT RULER (2), JUST TIGER (4), VANQUISH STRIDE (11) and BLITZERN (12) are all racing well and wouldn’t shock if figured but I feel a placing is best.
RATINGS: 8-3-5-1
LIKELY LEADER: Spot Ruler and Stepping Stones look to have the early if they want to hold up.
RACE 6: 19:06pm Tasfreight Raider Stakes Final 2698m
This is the final of the 4yo Sires for the Colts and Geldings. DO IT (4) has been impressive since coming across from Victoria and has showed a bit of stamina and that will hold him in good stead over the long trip so looks the hardest to beat. CUZZY BRO (5) got too far back in the Prelude so will be hoping to settle closer and look to get over the top late. SERIOUSLY SAM (8) has been the big improver of late and gets a soft trip so can dive bomb them late. VINCENZO (1) came wide last time in a slick last half so from the better draw he gets his chance. STRANDED LOLLIPOP (3) and SMOOTH MACHETE (6) are both capable of giving some cheek so don’t dismiss.
RATINGS: 4-5-1-8
LIKELY LEADER: Do It will look to work across Vincenzo but will the lead be there for him.
RACE 7: 19:41pm Ladbrokes Odds Surge Pace 1680m
Here is a race for the up 49 rated pacers. GOODTIME OSCAR (4) comes up with the draw that will allow him to push forward and settle on speed and from there will take beating. CAPTAIN CHEDDAR (2) has the draw to run a race at odds on e/w basis. KENYA (10) has been thereabouts of late and with the right trip into the race can figure along with the likes of NORBET (5), TALK IS CHEAP (6) and SAPPHIRE GAMBLER (9) for the wider exotic players.
RATINGS: 4-2-10-5
LIKELY LEADER: Captain Cheddar and Goodtime Oscar will duel for the early lead.
RACE 8 20:15pm Ladbrokes Same Race Multi Pace 1680m
This is an even race over the shorter trip. IMPERIAL LAZ (3) was good last week and does early speed so if finds the top could get away with it. SHARMEY (5) will be a spanner in the works as he always likes to go forward and would cross if really asked to. KARALTA ARTEMIS (6) has been close up and only needs a fair trip to figure. COOLANDCOLLECT (10) was better last time and gets a soft trip from the draw so is the one at odds. PUNTARNO STRIDE (2), FLEETWOOD ROCK (7) and BELIEVE IN FOREVER (8) are capable with the right trips so wouldn’t shock.
RATINGS: 3-8-1-6
LIKELY LEADER: Sharmey will look to cross Imperial Laz early.
RACE 9 20:47pm Ladbrokes Mates Mode Pots Pace 2200m
This is a 50-55 and it’s a tricky one to access. SMOOTH REASON (4) resumes as a 3yo and she showed last season has plenty of ability so along as she has improved she will take holding out. MARTHA LAVINIA (10) wasn’t entitled to win last time but got the job done so this is slightly stronger she is up to the task. WAZZA (5) is a consistent type who will put himself into the race so has winning claims. TULLAH GIRL (1), CHEYS ANGEL (2), GYPSY AMOUR (8) and I OF THE HURRIKANE (9) are a quartet to include for the wider exotic placings.
RATINGS: 4-10-5-1
LIKELY LEADER: Our Sweet Trixie will push forward and look for the pegs first.
RACE 10 21:15pm Ladbrokes Quick Multi Pace 1680m
The last of the night is for the 3yo and older pacers. BARBARY TALES (5) was impressive last time when leading she draws a touch wide but is versatile and can overcome it. BARNY BILL (3) has been racing well and comes off a freshen up so keep safe. CONISTON (2) was impressive last week but this is stronger but draws well so is a query. ULTIMACTION (4), NANCESTIGER (6), CAMELOT JEDIMASTER (7) and REUBE STARBUCK (9) are a quartet that are capable so are a must for the exotics.
RATINGS: 5-3-2-9
LIKELY LEADER: Barny Bill and Barbary Tales will both look to push forward.
