Form Analysis by Jamie Cockshutt
Launceston 6th April
We head to Launceston on Sunday night for a handy eight event card so let’s look to find some winners.
The best of the night comes up in race seven by the way of Mr Bondi who should be leading throughout.
Thee Old Bomb is worth a few coins e/w in the third race of the night.
Puntarno Stride will also be value and is worth an e/w play.
The best at odds is Hot Deal in race four of the night.
RACE 1: 17:55pm Victory Images Photography Pace 1680m
The first of the night is for the 3yo and older pacers and it looks a competitive affair. PREPARATION (4) was a good winner on debut and will be better for the run and will need to as this is stronger but he will make his presence felt. WAZZA (2) is first up for the new stable and does bring some good form so from the draw looks the hardest to beat. SPORTY CHICK (7) and SWEET DIXIE (8) are both racing well so with a bit of luck in running will be around the mark. CAPTAIN CHEDDAR (3) and IMPERIAL LAZ (5) are next best and wouldn’t shock if god the job done.
TOP PICK: Wazza (2) just leaning his way from the draw.
DANGERS: Preparation (4) looks the danger along with Sporty Chick (7).
ROUGHIE: Sweet Dixie (8) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 2-4 7 8-3 5-1 6
SUGGESTED BET: Wazza 2units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 2 4-2 4-3 5 7 8 $20 flexi 250% - 2 4-3 5 7 8-2 4 $20 flexi 250%
LIKELY LEADER: Wazza will look to find the early lead.
RACE 2: 18:25pm Ladbrokes Odds Surge Stakes 2200m
This is also for the 3yo and old and older pacers. KINGOFTHEKLONDIKE (2) was too short last time when missed a place when sitting parked so if gets some cover this week he can bounce back. KNOCK OUT (3) comes down from the Riverina where his form has been just but earlier did show ability so watch the market as a better guide to his chances. NANCESTIGER (10) and COOLANDCOLLECT (11) are both capable of overcoming the draws in running if the pace is on so keeps safe. CLARE FAVOURITE (6), TWILIGHT BONNIE (8) and KOSYGIN LEIS (9) can fill a minor placing at odds for the wider exotic players.
TOP PICK: Knock Out (3) happy to lean his way.
DANGERS: Kingoftheklondike (2) looks the danger along with Coolandcollect (11).
ROUGHIE: Kosygin Leis (9) sneaky chance at odds.
RATINGS: 3-2 10 11-6 8 9-4 5 7-1
SUGGESTED BET: Knock Out 2units win-Coolandcollect 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 2 3 6 9 10 11 $40 flexi 33.3%
LIKELY LEADER: Knock Out will look for the early lead
RACE 3: 18:55pm Family Fun Night Saturday 19th April Pace 2200m
This is a 65 or better stand where WATERMELON SUGAR (3) gets an early advantage over his rivals by drawing the front so if pings on top will take catching. AMBIGUOUS (7) is looking for a winning hat-trick and has the ability to overcome the 10m so looks the one they have to beat. THEE OLD BOMB (9) will be looking to step safely as if he does he comes right into calculations. WE SALUTE YOU (1) and THE CHANCER (8) are both capable of figuring if the breaks come their way. ROCKANDAHARDPLACE (2) and COLBY SANZ (4) will both be good odds but if either pinged on top will give some cheek.
TOP PICK: Thee Old Bomb (9) will be value and can win.
DANGERS: Ambiguous (7) is the danger along with Watermelon Sugar (3).
ROUGHIE: Rockandahardplace (2) is the improver at odds.
RATINGS: 7 9-1 3 8-2 4 5 6
SUGGESTED BET: Thee old Bomb
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 7 9-7 9-field $21 flexi 150% - 7 9-field-7 9 $14 flexi 100%
LIKELY LEADER: Rockandahardplace will be looking to cross We Salute You early.
RACE 4: 19:30pm Stan & Katie Leedham Memorial 2200m
This is for the open class pacers and it’s a race with plenty of depth. STAR MAJOR (9) will appreciate getting back to the mobile as should push through early and if can get up outside the speed first will take plenty if beating. MAGNETIC TERROR (5) forget his latest run and go on his previous as he built a picket fence so can win. MAGICIAN (10) will be looking to get cover into race and if close enough can run down his rivals. HOT DEAL (7) has his hoof on the till and will one soon but draw hurts here. DE GOEY (2) and HELLUVA (6) are next best.
TOP PICK: Magician (10) can get over the top late.
DANGERS: Magnetic Terror (5) looks the danger along with Star Major (9).
ROUGHIE: Hot Deal (7) is clearly the value play.
RATINGS: 10-5 7 9-2 6-3-1 4 8
SUGGESTED BET: Magician 2units win- Hot Deal 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 7 10-2 5 7 9 10-2 5 7 9 10 $36 flexi 150%
LIKELY LEADER: Magnetic Terror will be looking to bully his way across early.
RACE 5: 20:05pm Easter Cup Race Meeting Saturday 19th April Pace 1680m
Here we have a 58-62 affair and polemarker AXE AND DEEZ (1) looks hard to beat from the pole as should be able to hold up early so will take catching. SPORTS WRACK (3) is looking to make it a winning hat-trick but this is tougher so will need to step up again. PUNTARNO STRIDE (7) has run some big races of late so despite the draw has to be kept safe. JEREMY WELLS (5) has been close up of late so with a good trip early can figure late. IDEN BLACK PRINCE (4) and BELIEVE IN FOREVER (8) are a couple to include for the wider exotic placings.
TOP PICK: Puntarno Stride (7) will be value and can win.
DANGERS: Axe and Deez (1) is the danger along with Sports Wrack (3).
ROUGHIE: Jeremy Wells (5) is the best at odds.
RATINGS: 7-1 3 5-4 8-2 6
SUGGESTED BET: Puntarno Stride 2units win- Axe and Deez 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Boxed trifecta 1 3 5 7 8 $30 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Axe and Deez should do enough to hold up early.
RACE 6: 20:35pm Happy 60th Birthday Sandi Pace 1680m
This is for the up to 49 rated pacers and it’s a tough one. RANIERI (9) will be value who has a good trailing draw so looks a good e/w gamble. A GOOD RED (3) got a well deserved win last week and from the good draw is capable of going back to back. FIVE STAR SHARK (5) will be looking for the early lead so if finds the top they may not catch him. STRAWBERRY BLING (2), JUSTIFY (4) and CINOCAL JAMANE (7) are a trio that can win if the breaks come their way in running.
TOP PICK: Five Star Shark (5) gets his chance from the draw.
DANGERS: Ranieri (9) is the danger along with A Good Red (3).
ROUGHIE: Cinocal Jamane (7) wouldn’t shock.
RATINGS: 5-2 3 4 7 8 9-1 6
SUGGESTED BET: Five Star Shark 2units win-Ranieri 1unit win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 5 9-2 3 4 5 7 8 9-2 3 4 5 7 8 9 $30 flexi 50%
LIKELY LEADER: Five Star Shark will look to get across early.
RACE 7: 21:05pm Ladbrokes Racing Club Stakes 1680m
Here we have a 63-67 and polemarker MR BONDI (1) looks perfectly placed from the pole after being runner up in track record time last week so from the pole should be winning. MAJOR LESTER (2) can drop leaders back and gets every chance so looks the danger. KILLARNEY DANCE (4) was working into the race last time when getting checked so can figure with the right trip. BETTER EXCLUSIVE (3), DENNY (5) and CAN FEEL THE FURY (6) round out the field and can run into a placing.
TOP PICK: Mr Bondi (1) should be winning.
DANGERS: Major Lester (2) looks the danger along with Killarney Dance (4).
ROUGHIE: Better Exclusive (3) is next best.
RATINGS: 1-2 4-3 5 6
SUGGESTED BET: Mr Bondi 8units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 1-2-3 4 $20 flexi 1000%
LIKELY LEADER: Mr Bondi should hold them early.
RACE 8: 21:35pm Be at The Easter Cup Saturday 19 April Stakes 2200m
The last of the night is for the 53-57 rated pacers and the consistent MON SOLEIL (6) looks well placed in the small field especially if they run along up front so is the one to beat. NO NUKES KIPPER (3) has been racing well and should get on speed early so looks a danger as does DAZZLE ME (1) who well last week with a similar set up. LE PIERRE (2), ROCKS ROY (4) and KARALTA ARTEMIS (5) round out the field and wouldn’t shock if they were in the finish.
TOP PICK: Mon Soleil (6) is the one to beat.
DANGERS: No Nukes Skipper (3) is the danger along with Dazzle Me (1).
ROUGHIE: Karalta Artemis (5) looks the best value.
RATINGS: 6-1 2 3 4 5
SUGGESTED BET: Mon Soleil 4units win
EXOTIC BET: Trifecta 6-1 3-field $20 flexi 200%
LIKELY LEADER: No Nukes Skipper will be looking for the lead.
